- Paul and Marcia Wythes Center on Contemporary China
- The East Asian Studies Program
Many analysts who have predicted that China’s unprecedented economic development and middle class’s expansion would favor a liberalization of its political regime and a more or less smooth evolution towards democracy. Based on the most updated research works, China Tomorrow argues on the contrary that China’s one-party system is strong and will continue to adapt and prosper in the mid-term future, say 20 or 30 more years. The Chinese society is of course subject to multiple factors of change and uncertainties, as the rapid development of private businesses, the emergence of internet, religion’s revival and more generally the country’s gradual integration in the world economy. Nonetheless, influenced by China’s traditional culture and even more so by the regime’s Soviet ideology, institutions and modus operandi, most Chinese are not pushing for democracy, privileging security, stability and prosperity to political freedoms and participation. China’s political, economic and intellectual elites are also not pushing for these things, apart from a small and heavily repressed minority of human rights and democracy activists. Probably doomed but only in the longer run to collapse, a powerful and authoritarian China pauses a growing challenge to all democracies. Will democracies be able to meet and overcome this challenge?
This event will be held online via Zoom webinar — register here(link is external)
Jean-Pierre Cabestan is Chair Professor of Political Science, Department of Government and International Studies, Hong Kong Baptist University. He was Head of the Department from 2007 to 2018. He is also Associate Researcher at the Asia Centre, Paris and at the French Centre for Research on Contemporary China in Hong Kong. Before August 2007, he was Senior Researcher at the French National Centre for Scientific Research (Centre national de la recherche scientifique) and was attached to Institute of Comparative Law of the University of Paris 1.